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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+2.70vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54+1.05vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+0.03vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.23+5.89vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.72+3.06vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.52+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.32vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.42+0.92vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.88-4.47vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+5.21vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.30+0.59vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-0.36-1.70vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.50-5.15vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-9.00vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.62-3.80vs Predicted
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18University of Georgia-1.71-2.05vs Predicted
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19Auburn University-1.38-3.70vs Predicted
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20Vanderbilt University-2.78-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.03College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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10.89Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.06Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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8.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.92The Citadel0.420.0%1st Place
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5.53Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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16.21Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.59Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.85Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.0North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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13.2University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.95University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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15.3Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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17.66Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 19.9% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 12.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 17.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Blacker | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Marshall | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Roberts | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 26.9% | 17.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 15.8% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.