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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+3.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+5.96vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.60+6.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55+4.87vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.87+7.23vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67+1.76vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+6.63vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-2.62vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.94-1.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.43-0.57vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-1.56vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.38-7.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-2.22vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.38+0.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.33-0.74vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.70+1.34vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.07-6.19vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan1.29-7.94vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.44vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.10-13.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Yale University2.7110.8%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island2.7813.5%1st Place
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8.96Brown University1.866.3%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida1.605.3%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.7%1st Place
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10.87Brown University1.553.5%1st Place
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14.23University of Vermont0.871.5%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.674.8%1st Place
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15.63Salve Regina University0.461.4%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University1.946.3%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University1.433.5%1st Place
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11.44Boston University1.393.1%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.389.3%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.7%1st Place
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16.08Connecticut College0.381.2%1st Place
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16.26Dartmouth College0.331.1%1st Place
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19.34Bates College-0.700.2%1st Place
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12.81Northeastern University1.072.5%1st Place
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12.06University of Michigan1.292.6%1st Place
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17.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.2%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University2.106.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| John Eastman | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% |
| Colby Green | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 44.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Billy Vogel | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.