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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+8.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.76vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.38+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+1.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+6.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+5.40vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.38+0.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10+0.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.94-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60-0.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+0.82vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.55-3.88vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-2.95vs Predicted
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18Bates College-0.70+1.28vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.38-2.97vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.56vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.33-4.68vs Predicted
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22Tufts University1.67-12.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Brown University1.865.6%1st Place
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5.76Yale University2.7112.8%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.388.8%1st Place
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5.78University of Rhode Island2.7813.4%1st Place
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11.47Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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11.4Tufts University1.433.5%1st Place
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7.15Bowdoin College2.388.9%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University2.106.6%1st Place
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10.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.2%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University1.945.9%1st Place
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10.52University of South Florida1.604.5%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.3%1st Place
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12.73Northeastern University1.072.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Michigan1.293.0%1st Place
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11.12Brown University1.553.4%1st Place
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15.43Salve Regina University0.461.4%1st Place
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14.05University of Vermont0.872.5%1st Place
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19.28Bates College-0.700.4%1st Place
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16.03Connecticut College0.381.0%1st Place
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17.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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16.32Dartmouth College0.331.1%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Billy Vogel | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Colby Green | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 45.1% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 9.7% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 11.5% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.