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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.67+8.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+4.17vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+6.95vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.86+4.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.03vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60+2.56vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.94+0.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87+3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.29-0.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.39-1.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-1.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.38+1.08vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-0.35vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.33vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.55vs Predicted
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19Tufts University1.43-7.81vs Predicted
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20Bates College-0.70-0.66vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.33-4.72vs Predicted
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22University of Rhode Island2.78-16.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Tufts University1.674.5%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.7111.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.388.8%1st Place
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10.95Brown University1.553.5%1st Place
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9.04Brown University1.866.7%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.389.8%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.5%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida1.604.0%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University1.945.1%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.106.5%1st Place
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14.19University of Vermont0.871.7%1st Place
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11.95University of Michigan1.293.1%1st Place
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11.21Boston University1.393.6%1st Place
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12.82Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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16.08Connecticut College0.381.7%1st Place
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15.65Salve Regina University0.461.2%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.4%1st Place
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17.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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19.34Bates College-0.700.3%1st Place
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16.28Dartmouth College0.331.3%1st Place
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5.64University of Rhode Island2.7813.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Liam Gronda | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Jack Derry | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 44.6% |
| Griffin Lapham | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 11.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.1% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.