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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+3.17vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.70+1.81vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.54+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.90-0.72vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.23+5.78vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.30+6.10vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+1.10vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50+1.92vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.62+3.99vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.72-1.07vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.38-3.90vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.52-2.03vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.88-7.43vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.38+0.24vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.71-0.19vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.96vs Predicted
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18The Citadel-0.31-5.81vs Predicted
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19Vanderbilt University-2.78-1.22vs Predicted
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20University of Florida-0.36-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17College of Charleston2.490.1%1st Place
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3.81Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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4.13Jacksonville University2.540.2%1st Place
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3.28University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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10.78Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.1Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.1University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.92Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.99University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.93Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.1North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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5.57Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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15.24Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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16.04Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.19The Citadel-0.310.0%1st Place
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17.78Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Blacker | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 21.9% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Katsis | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Roberts | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 7.3% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 25.6% | 15.0% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| Christopher Moe | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 18.9% | 56.3% |
| Thomas Monson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.