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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+2.38vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.30+10.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.49+1.19vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.54+0.02vs Predicted
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5Duke University0.72+4.27vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.70-2.30vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.88-1.34vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.62+3.96vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.52-0.36vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University0.23-0.43vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-3.74vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+2.93vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.38+0.27vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.50-6.33vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.71-1.10vs Predicted
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18Vanderbilt University-2.78-0.27vs Predicted
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19The Citadel-0.31-6.76vs Predicted
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20University of Florida-0.36-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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12.26Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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4.19College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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4.02Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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9.27Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.7Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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5.66Clemson University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.19North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.96University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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15.93Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.27Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.67Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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15.9University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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17.73Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.24The Citadel-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 20.2% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Noah Blacker | 16.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 14.6% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 20.3% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 24.2% | 15.8% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 8.8% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 14.1% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 57.5% |
| Christopher Moe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Monson | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.