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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+2.55vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.72+7.17vs Predicted
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3Rollins College-0.30+9.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49-0.01vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.87+0.73vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University0.23+4.60vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.52+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90-4.66vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.38-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.97vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.41-5.05vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+3.47vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.62-0.96vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.71+1.06vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.77-7.09vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.50-7.25vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-1.38-2.82vs Predicted
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19University of Florida-0.36-6.48vs Predicted
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20Vanderbilt University-2.78-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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9.17Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.36Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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10.6Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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3.34University of South Florida2.900.2%1st Place
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6.92North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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6.95Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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16.47Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.04University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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8.91The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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9.75Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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15.18Auburn University-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.63Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 21.1% | 19.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Noah Blacker | 16.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 23.6% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 20.7% | 25.9% | 19.8% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 22.7% | 15.2% |
| William Montgomery | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sullivan Madewell | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 8.1% |
| Thomas Monson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 54.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.