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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.79+11.90vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+7.42vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+8.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.18+0.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18+3.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.97+3.86vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.70+5.14vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-3.78vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.39+3.91vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.95-3.99vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.59-3.69vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.20vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.03-3.29vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-3.92vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.83-4.46vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.85-5.45vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-1.47vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island1.80-11.97vs Predicted
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21Dartmouth College0.36-6.02vs Predicted
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22Bates College-1.55-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.9Brown University0.793.2%1st Place
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9.42Northwestern University1.495.9%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont1.053.6%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.069.0%1st Place
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8.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.1810.1%1st Place
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10.86Tufts University1.184.0%1st Place
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11.86Boston University0.973.5%1st Place
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14.14Harvard University0.701.8%1st Place
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6.22Brown University2.2211.7%1st Place
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14.91University of South Florida0.391.6%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
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9.31Northeastern University1.595.5%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.6%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University1.033.7%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University0.973.2%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College0.833.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Michigan0.853.0%1st Place
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17.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.360.9%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island1.807.3%1st Place
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14.98Dartmouth College0.361.5%1st Place
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20.53Bates College-1.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Helen Horangic | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
Shea Smith | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Sam Bonauto | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Mateo Farina | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Adrien Bellanger | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Sophia Montgomery | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
Mason Stang | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hella Kornatzki | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Adrian Winkelman | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Peter McGonagle | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Emmett Nevel | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Olivia Lowthian | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Will Glasson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
Emily Pytell | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
Nicholas Dreyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 27.6% | 14.1% |
Declan Botwinick | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Connor Vogel | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 3.5% |
Gray Dinsel | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 11.6% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.