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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.90+1.23vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+0.58vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.30+8.21vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+3.22vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.52+3.57vs Predicted
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7Duke University0.72+2.03vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University0.23+2.75vs Predicted
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9Clemson University1.41-2.24vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.87-4.63vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+4.99vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.77-2.84vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.38-6.22vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.50-5.17vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.62-2.99vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.71-1.29vs Predicted
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18Auburn University-2.33-1.09vs Predicted
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19University of Florida-0.36-6.56vs Predicted
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20Vanderbilt University-2.78-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98College of Charleston2.490.2%1st Place
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3.23University of South Florida2.900.3%1st Place
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3.58Eckerd College2.700.2%1st Place
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12.21Rollins College-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Miami0.520.0%1st Place
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9.03Duke University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.75Embry-Riddle University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.76Clemson University1.410.1%1st Place
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5.37Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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15.99Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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9.16The Citadel0.770.0%1st Place
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6.78North Carolina State University1.380.1%1st Place
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9.83Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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13.01University of North Carolina-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.71University of Georgia-1.710.0%1st Place
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16.91Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Florida-0.360.0%1st Place
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17.46Vanderbilt University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Blacker | 15.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 26.0% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 20.6% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bernardo Pineda | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Savacool | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Scarfone | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Katsis | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Taylor | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Forester-Bennett | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 12.7% |
| William Montgomery | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Whitener | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Stolorena | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 10.2% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 26.0% | 30.3% |
| Thomas Monson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Petty Valenzuela | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.