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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+4.41vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+8.28vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+6.30vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.06+1.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.03+4.94vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.49+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.85+3.76vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.59-0.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.83+1.74vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-0.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.80-6.02vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.79-2.12vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.97-4.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.36-1.84vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.70-3.73vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-1.24vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-7.83vs Predicted
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21Salve Regina University0.97-8.64vs Predicted
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22Bates College-1.55-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76Yale University1.908.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University2.2210.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont1.053.9%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College1.957.6%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida1.193.8%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College2.0610.7%1st Place
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11.94Roger Williams University1.033.6%1st Place
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9.43Northwestern University1.495.2%1st Place
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12.76University of Michigan0.853.0%1st Place
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9.41Northeastern University1.595.4%1st Place
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12.74Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University1.183.6%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.808.1%1st Place
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12.88Brown University0.793.2%1st Place
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11.92Boston University0.973.4%1st Place
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15.16Dartmouth College0.361.7%1st Place
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14.27Harvard University0.702.1%1st Place
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17.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.360.9%1st Place
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12.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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12.36Salve Regina University0.972.6%1st Place
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20.55Bates College-1.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Shea Smith | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Connor Vogel | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 4.9% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Dreyer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 28.1% | 16.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.