Race 9A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Crager 9.9% 9.0% 10.1% 11.2% 10.2% 10.4% 8.3% 8.1% 7.2% 7.3% 4.2% 3.3% 0.8%
Gavin Hudson 5.2% 7.0% 5.9% 5.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 10.1% 8.9% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 3.9%
Skylor Sweet 9.2% 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 8.8% 9.1% 7.0% 5.0% 4.7% 1.4%
Gus Macaulay 13.4% 12.5% 13.3% 12.3% 9.8% 10.1% 7.5% 7.1% 5.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Olivia Lowthian 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.5% 13.5% 16.7% 15.4%
Everett Botwinick 14.9% 13.6% 12.8% 12.7% 11.4% 9.5% 7.8% 6.2% 5.0% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Peter Foley 13.9% 14.7% 11.8% 12.2% 11.8% 10.0% 9.1% 6.2% 4.2% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
David Vinogradov 8.7% 8.5% 10.1% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 10.0% 9.2% 8.2% 7.2% 5.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Nathaniel Hartwell 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 7.5% 8.2% 9.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.4% 6.8%
Gavin Sanborn 6.5% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 7.5% 3.8%
Pierson Falk 4.3% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.7% 12.8% 13.0% 10.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.4% 6.0% 5.9% 10.0% 15.2% 44.5%
Sam Harris 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% 5.1% 6.9% 8.1% 8.9% 11.4% 12.7% 14.8% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.