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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.84+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.93+2.27vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.87-0.32vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.48-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.78-0.44vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.08-2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-0.76-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.20-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.56University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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3.93Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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6.03University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Quinlan | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 4.3% |
| Ted Alley | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
| David Berry | 29.9% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Martin | 19.6% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Josef Schwan | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 5.1% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.7% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 16.9% | 57.9% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 29.9% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.