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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.60vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.93+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.78+0.52vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.48-1.71vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.84-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.20-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.76-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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4.52University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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3.29Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
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6.17University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 31.7% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Ted Alley | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Josef Schwan | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 14.2% | 5.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 18.5% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Liam Quinlan | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 27.4% | 31.2% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 22.4% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.