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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.06+6.04vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+9.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.79+9.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+6.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University0.70+8.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90+1.61vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.03+4.56vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80-0.05vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.49+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.04+6.29vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.36+3.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-2.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-4.46vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-2.52vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-2.89vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.85-3.45vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.95-9.00vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.22-11.70vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College0.83-6.41vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-8.21vs Predicted
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21Bates College-1.55-0.62vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Bowdoin College2.069.4%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont1.053.3%1st Place
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12.66Brown University0.793.4%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University1.184.4%1st Place
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13.97Harvard University0.701.9%1st Place
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7.61Yale University1.908.1%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University1.034.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island1.808.2%1st Place
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9.09Northwestern University1.495.3%1st Place
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16.29University of South Florida-0.040.9%1st Place
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14.72Dartmouth College0.361.7%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University1.595.5%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.6%1st Place
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11.48Boston University0.972.9%1st Place
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12.11Salve Regina University0.974.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Michigan0.853.4%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College1.957.6%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.2211.5%1st Place
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12.59Connecticut College0.833.3%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.2%1st Place
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20.38Bates College-1.550.4%1st Place
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17.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.361.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Saleta Powell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 8.2% |
| Connor Vogel | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 4.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emily Pytell | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 62.2% |
| Nicholas Dreyer | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 23.1% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.