← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.90+6.67vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.18+8.82vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.97+8.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.05+7.23vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.06+1.82vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.48vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.49+2.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.80-0.06vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.59+0.16vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.83+2.51vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.95-3.15vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.22-5.76vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.03-1.43vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College0.36+0.47vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan0.85-2.34vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University0.70-2.01vs Predicted
-
17Brown University0.79-4.68vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-6.41vs Predicted
-
19Salve Regina University0.97-6.79vs Predicted
-
20University of South Florida-0.04-3.67vs Predicted
-
21Bates College-1.55-0.67vs Predicted
-
22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.36-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.67Yale University1.907.6%1st Place
-
10.82Tufts University1.184.5%1st Place
-
11.82Boston University0.974.0%1st Place
-
11.23University of Vermont1.054.0%1st Place
-
6.82Bowdoin College2.0610.1%1st Place
-
8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.0%1st Place
-
9.37Northwestern University1.495.9%1st Place
-
7.94University of Rhode Island1.807.8%1st Place
-
9.16Northeastern University1.595.3%1st Place
-
12.51Connecticut College0.833.1%1st Place
-
7.85Dartmouth College1.957.5%1st Place
-
6.24Brown University2.2210.9%1st Place
-
11.57Roger Williams University1.033.8%1st Place
-
14.47Dartmouth College0.362.5%1st Place
-
12.66University of Michigan0.853.1%1st Place
-
13.99Harvard University0.702.0%1st Place
-
12.32Brown University0.793.5%1st Place
-
11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
-
12.21Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
-
16.33University of South Florida-0.040.9%1st Place
-
20.33Bates College-1.550.4%1st Place
-
17.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.360.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Glasson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Emily Pytell | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Helen Horangic | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Saleta Powell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 8.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 11.4% | 65.3% |
| Nicholas Dreyer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.