← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.93+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University1.08+2.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria1.87-0.32vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria0.84+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.48-1.69vs Predicted
-
6University of British Columbia-0.20+0.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound-0.76-0.15vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia0.78-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
-
4.02Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.68University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
-
4.43University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.31Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
-
6.09University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.85University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
-
4.41University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Alley | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.7% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 2.6% |
| David Berry | 30.2% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Liam Quinlan | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Taylor Martin | 18.9% | 22.5% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 27.3% | 28.1% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 53.2% |
| Josef Schwan | 10.5% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.