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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.65vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.48+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.78+1.51vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.08+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.20+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.84-1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-0.76-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.93-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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3.27Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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4.51University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.16University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 29.2% | 26.2% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Martin | 19.4% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Josef Schwan | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 4.8% |
| Gabe Hill | 12.7% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 30.2% | 27.6% |
| Liam Quinlan | 10.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 4.7% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 18.4% | 55.6% |
| Ted Alley | 12.1% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.