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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.93+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia-0.20+3.05vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.78+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.84-0.55vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.08-2.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.48-3.67vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.76-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Victoria1.870.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Victoria0.930.1%1st Place
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6.05University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.53University of British Columbia0.780.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
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3.96Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.33Western Washington University1.480.2%1st Place
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6.84University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 31.8% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 26.7% | 30.0% |
| Josef Schwan | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Liam Quinlan | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 4.0% |
| Gabe Hill | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Martin | 20.2% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 22.3% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.