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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+0.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.12+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.59+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-0.58+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.61-1.07vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-1.93vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.76-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-1.82-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Victoria2.290.5%1st Place
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3.2Western Washington University1.120.2%1st Place
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3.98University of British Columbia0.590.1%1st Place
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5.77University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 53.7% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Halliday | 15.3% | 21.0% | 25.9% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jeanne Currie | 9.3% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Stearman | 2.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 27.6% | 14.8% |
| Jordan Pow | 8.3% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 8.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 31.5% | 19.7% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 19.3% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.