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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.12+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.29-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.76+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.61-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.59-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.58-0.27vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.52-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-1.82-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Western Washington University1.120.2%1st Place
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1.81University of Victoria2.290.5%1st Place
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5.96University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
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3.99University of British Columbia0.590.1%1st Place
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5.73University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.18Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Halliday | 16.7% | 23.5% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Abel | 50.8% | 28.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 29.8% | 19.3% |
| Jordan Pow | 9.7% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Jeanne Currie | 8.6% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Stearman | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 22.6% | 26.4% | 14.5% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 20.0% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.