← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria2.29+0.79vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia-0.58+3.80vs Predicted
-
3University of British Columbia0.59+0.98vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.12-0.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.61-1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria-0.76-0.02vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University0.52-2.86vs Predicted
-
8University of Puget Sound-1.82-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79University of Victoria2.290.5%1st Place
-
5.8University of British Columbia-0.580.0%1st Place
-
3.98University of British Columbia0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.19Western Washington University1.120.1%1st Place
-
3.93University of Victoria0.610.1%1st Place
-
5.98University of Victoria-0.760.0%1st Place
-
4.14Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.19University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 52.7% | 26.4% | 13.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Stearman | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 24.0% | 26.8% | 15.8% |
| Jeanne Currie | 9.0% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Halliday | 14.9% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Pow | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 19.3% | 13.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Jacqui Martindale | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 33.3% | 17.2% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 18.9% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.