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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.99+0.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61-1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.88-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of California at Berkeley0.737.8%1st Place
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2.71University of Hawaii0.9911.8%1st Place
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1.41Stanford University2.6168.5%1st Place
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2.78University of Rhode Island0.8811.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 19.8% | 26.2% | 46.2% |
Mercy Tangredi | 11.8% | 29.5% | 34.5% | 24.1% |
Michelle Lahrkamp | 68.5% | 23.4% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
Molly Coghlin | 11.8% | 27.3% | 32.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.