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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.13vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+0.30vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.90-1.17vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.52vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42+2.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.83+0.87vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay1.63-2.16vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.19vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.63-5.16vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California2.47-8.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.78-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Stanford University4.190.3%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University3.720.2%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.3Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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3.83Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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8.23California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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10.31Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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7.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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9.84California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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10.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.84California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 25.5% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 12.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 16.7% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 33.4% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 22.9% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.