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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+4.08vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.90+0.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+0.32vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.63+4.93vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay1.63+3.93vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.47vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42+2.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.12-0.65vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.90vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.72-6.76vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.53vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.83-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-0.78-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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3.82Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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4.32Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.93California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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9.93California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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10.45Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.35University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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8.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 24.5% | 24.6% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 17.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 14.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 14.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 14.6% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 34.9% | 33.5% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 22.1% | 56.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.