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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+2.19vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay1.63+7.80vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+1.20vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.90-0.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.70-1.72vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.63+2.80vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.22+0.24vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.12+0.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.83-0.16vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.42-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley2.12-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.78-0.20vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.76vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.47-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Stanford University4.190.3%1st Place
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9.8California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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4.2Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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3.84Stanford University3.900.2%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.28Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.8California State University Monterey Bay1.630.0%1st Place
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8.24California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Davis0.830.0%1st Place
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10.44Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Davis-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 26.0% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Vargas | 16.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 14.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurdle | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Katz | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Baldassare | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Desmond Krueger | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 24.6% | 53.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 32.9% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.