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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+1.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+1.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80-1.03vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+0.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.23-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.42+2.94vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.57vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.36-0.24vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.84-4.19vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.84-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.54Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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2.97Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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8.06Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.1%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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10.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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10.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.81California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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9.81California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 30.5% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 16.6% | 18.3% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 24.0% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 33.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.