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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+1.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.80+0.93vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.80vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.55+1.95vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.44-3.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-1.68vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.84+0.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.42+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.40-2.62vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-1.34vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-2.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.36-1.31vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.84-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.800.3%1st Place
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4.59Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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7.95Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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3.62Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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9.85California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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10.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
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10.6California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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12.69University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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9.85California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 31.7% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 25.6% | 23.4% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 15.9% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.