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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+7.24vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+4.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+5.69vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+7.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.70+3.83vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America1.31+4.41vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.09+0.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.01-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.38vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.73-1.21vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.05-2.97vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.72+0.20vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.47-2.41vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.60vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.66-4.93vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.31vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.83-3.31vs Predicted
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18William and Mary0.12-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.4%1st Place
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6.78SUNY Maritime College2.519.5%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University1.815.2%1st Place
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11.05Princeton University1.873.6%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University1.706.1%1st Place
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10.41Catholic University of America1.313.4%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University2.097.0%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Naval Academy3.0114.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania1.595.8%1st Place
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8.79Webb Institute1.735.9%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University2.056.5%1st Place
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12.2Virginia Tech0.721.8%1st Place
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10.59Hampton University1.472.6%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.4%1st Place
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10.07Washington College1.664.3%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University1.574.9%1st Place
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13.69Christopher Newport University0.831.3%1st Place
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15.0William and Mary0.121.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| John McKenna | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JC Hermus | 14.0% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Matt Logue | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 17.3% | 21.4% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.7% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.