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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+3.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+0.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+0.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.80-0.97vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.55+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.23+0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.46+5.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.40+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-2.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.16vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-0.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.42-0.82vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.84-2.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.36-1.33vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay0.84-4.96vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.61-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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2.54Stanford University4.050.3%1st Place
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3.61Stanford University3.440.2%1st Place
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3.03Stanford University3.800.2%1st Place
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8.06Santa Clara University1.550.0%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.230.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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10.43California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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10.04California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.04California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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10.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 32.6% | 24.4% | 19.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 15.2% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 23.2% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ale | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keenan Chung | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 35.9% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Greg Kushnir | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.