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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+6.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.30vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+6.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+4.02vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+4.82vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.97+2.25vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89-2.13vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.14+5.98vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.36-3.44vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.80vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-3.94vs Predicted
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13Clemson University1.66-0.12vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.36vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.11-7.45vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.71-6.84vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.60-7.42vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.14-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.02Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.82Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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4.87College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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13.98North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.54Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.88Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.64Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.16Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.58College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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13.98North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 18.9% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 14.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.