Race 8B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 27.6% 27.1% 23.2% 13.2% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Jonathan Wittick 38.6% 28.9% 19.7% 8.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Ryan 17.3% 19.5% 23.8% 19.2% 11.6% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 2.2% 3.5% 5.2% 8.0% 10.9% 13.5% 16.6% 15.4% 13.6% 11.1%
George Wood 1.5% 2.7% 3.2% 6.8% 9.8% 11.1% 13.3% 15.8% 16.8% 19.1%
Matthew McCarvill 4.3% 6.3% 6.8% 13.2% 17.8% 16.0% 14.7% 10.3% 7.7% 2.9%
Cooper Bennett 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 7.2% 11.1% 13.0% 13.8% 14.2% 16.8% 15.4%
Tyler Needham 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 5.9% 8.5% 11.3% 13.2% 15.9% 19.1% 19.4%
Joseph Arrigo 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 5.0% 6.2% 8.7% 12.2% 15.8% 18.1% 28.1%
Alexandros Chalvatzakis 4.0% 5.3% 8.2% 12.9% 14.5% 17.9% 13.8% 11.5% 8.0% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.