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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.13+1.73vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.62+1.60vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.08+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.14-2.22vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.40-0.46vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.49-3.25vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.03-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound-0.81-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73University of Washington2.130.3%1st Place
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3.6Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Victoria1.080.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Washington2.140.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Puget Sound-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Sainsbury | 27.9% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 19.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Martin Van Den Berghe | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Antonio Johnson | 26.5% | 23.1% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Meigan Blunt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 25.2% | 12.5% |
| Andrew Nelson | 13.9% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Michael Trombatore | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 30.5% | 24.3% |
| Hannah Schneider-Lynch | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 20.8% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.