← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.59+8.48vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.70+6.89vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.56vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.05+4.18vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.73+4.00vs Predicted
-
6Washington College1.66+3.84vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.81+1.61vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.63vs Predicted
-
9Catholic University of America1.31+1.60vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.94vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.01-5.52vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University1.87-0.89vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech0.72-0.87vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.09-6.13vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.57-5.42vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University0.83-2.43vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary0.12-1.97vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University1.47-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.48University of Pennsylvania1.594.7%1st Place
-
8.89Cornell University1.706.0%1st Place
-
6.56SUNY Maritime College2.519.6%1st Place
-
8.18George Washington University2.055.6%1st Place
-
9.0Webb Institute1.735.3%1st Place
-
9.84Washington College1.664.3%1st Place
-
8.61Old Dominion University1.816.5%1st Place
-
6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6511.0%1st Place
-
10.6Catholic University of America1.313.5%1st Place
-
8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.466.7%1st Place
-
5.48U. S. Naval Academy3.0112.9%1st Place
-
11.11Princeton University1.873.0%1st Place
-
12.13Virginia Tech0.722.8%1st Place
-
7.87Georgetown University2.097.3%1st Place
-
9.58Fordham University1.574.6%1st Place
-
13.57Christopher Newport University0.831.4%1st Place
-
15.03William and Mary0.121.1%1st Place
-
10.65Hampton University1.473.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Logue | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Edward Cook | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 22.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 42.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.