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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+3.72vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.14+12.11vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.36+3.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.54+5.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.97+2.25vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46+2.98vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.60+1.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.53vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.66+2.81vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.97-2.75vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-1.67vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-4.95vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.37vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.95vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.11-8.38vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.14-2.89vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.71-8.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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14.11North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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9.75Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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9.98Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.26College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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12.81Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.33Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.63Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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14.11North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.19Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 27.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.