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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+7.57vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America1.31+7.76vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.73+5.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.05+2.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.01-0.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+1.53vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66+1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.59+0.47vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-1.95vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.37vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.09-4.26vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.70-3.99vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.12+1.17vs Predicted
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15Virginia Tech0.72-2.72vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.87-5.18vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.83-3.51vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79SUNY Maritime College2.5110.2%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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10.76Catholic University of America1.313.5%1st Place
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9.02Webb Institute1.734.0%1st Place
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7.93George Washington University2.057.7%1st Place
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5.4U. S. Naval Academy3.0113.3%1st Place
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8.53Old Dominion University1.815.1%1st Place
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9.98Washington College1.664.3%1st Place
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9.47University of Pennsylvania1.594.8%1st Place
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8.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.9%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.2%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University2.097.0%1st Place
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9.01Cornell University1.706.5%1st Place
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15.17William and Mary0.120.9%1st Place
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12.28Virginia Tech0.722.4%1st Place
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10.82Princeton University1.873.5%1st Place
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13.49Christopher Newport University0.831.8%1st Place
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10.34Hampton University1.474.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| John McKenna | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Matt Logue | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| JC Hermus | 13.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 42.5% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Daniel Hodges | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 21.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.