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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+4.51vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.00vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71+5.12vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.38+5.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.30vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.46+3.03vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97-0.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.53vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.66+2.81vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.55vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.14+2.22vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.00-4.91vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-4.16vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.60-5.48vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.11-8.39vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.97-8.87vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.14-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.12Washington College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.17Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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10.03Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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12.81Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.55Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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14.22North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
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14.22North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 17.9% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 28.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 38.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.