← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.23vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.89+2.81vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.97+5.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin3.36+2.64vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+3.01vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.71+3.24vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.11+0.60vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University2.38+2.16vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.00-0.87vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University2.54-0.43vs Predicted
-
11Clemson University1.66+1.80vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.98vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+0.57vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan2.97-5.81vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University2.46-5.00vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.60-6.39vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University1.14-2.71vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University1.14-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
-
4.81College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
-
8.13Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
-
9.24Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
-
7.6Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
-
10.16Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.13Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.57Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.8Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
-
8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
13.57Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.19University of Michigan2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.0Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
-
9.61College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
-
14.29North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
-
14.29North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 19.5% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 15.2% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 18.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.