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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+6.64vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.49+7.70vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.14+11.05vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+4.04vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.11+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.15vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.71+1.93vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.54+1.42vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University2.46+1.13vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.60-0.72vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-6.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.69vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.99vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-8.51vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.38-5.68vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.66-4.25vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.14-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Michigan2.490.0%1st Place
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14.05North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.1%1st Place
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8.93Washington College2.710.0%1st Place
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9.42Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.13Christopher Newport University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston2.600.0%1st Place
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4.94College of Charleston3.890.2%1st Place
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4.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.2%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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13.54Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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10.32Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.75Clemson University1.660.0%1st Place
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14.05North Carolina State University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Cyr | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gerli | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Nunn | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebekah Schiff | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rees | 16.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Benton Morton | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.