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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+9.11vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+8.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.96vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.84+2.61vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.38+7.04vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan3.02+0.11vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.38+5.04vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-4.19vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.87-2.15vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.54-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin3.19-5.33vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-3.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.56-5.05vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90+1.50vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.74-7.90vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.88-5.60vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.30-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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10.09Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.61Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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13.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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13.04North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.81Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.85Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.77Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston2.560.0%1st Place
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16.5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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11.4Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.89Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 33.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 33.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Claudon | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 5.6% | 86.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.