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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.19+6.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+4.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46+5.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.73vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+2.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.59+2.53vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66+1.90vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.09-1.05vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47+0.32vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.70-2.13vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.39vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.87-2.21vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America1.31-3.64vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.73-6.12vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.72-3.82vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.48-3.16vs Predicted
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18William and Mary-0.18-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61George Washington University2.197.8%1st Place
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6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.2%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.468.0%1st Place
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5.46U. S. Naval Academy3.0113.4%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Maritime College2.5110.4%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University1.815.2%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania1.594.9%1st Place
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9.9Washington College1.663.9%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.097.3%1st Place
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10.32Hampton University1.473.6%1st Place
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8.87Cornell University1.705.5%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University1.573.5%1st Place
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10.79Princeton University1.873.1%1st Place
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10.36Catholic University of America1.314.0%1st Place
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8.88Webb Institute1.734.8%1st Place
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12.18Virginia Tech0.722.5%1st Place
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13.84Christopher Newport University0.481.2%1st Place
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15.7William and Mary-0.180.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Ehnot | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Leo Boucher | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Jake Vickers | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
JC Hermus | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Benton Amthor | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
Christopher Sharpless | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Stewart Gurnell | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Edward Cook | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Valerio Palamara | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
Brooke Shachoy | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
Connor Mraz | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
John McKenna | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
Rayne Duff | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
Christopher Magno | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
David Grace | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 21.2% |
Sam Dutilly | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 14.5% | 51.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.