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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.84+6.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+8.04vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.56+5.79vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+3.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan3.02+1.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.74-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.19-3.58vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.30-1.05vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45-2.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-5.00vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.38-1.08vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.38-2.08vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.88-4.77vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.54-8.05vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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10.04Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.79College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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4.78Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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7.28University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston2.740.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.21Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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12.92North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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12.92North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.23Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.95Jacksonville University2.540.0%1st Place
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16.87Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bailey | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 14.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 35.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 35.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 95.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.