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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.37vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.81+6.52vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.01+1.47vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America1.31+5.61vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.70+2.99vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.09+0.80vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.73+0.66vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.19-1.20vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.57-0.35vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.73+1.96vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.66-2.17vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.46-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.59-4.50vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.87-4.25vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.48-2.30vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.47-6.76vs Predicted
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18William and Mary-0.18-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.6510.2%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University1.816.0%1st Place
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6.66SUNY Maritime College2.519.7%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy3.0113.7%1st Place
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10.61Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University1.705.2%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.096.8%1st Place
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8.66Webb Institute1.736.1%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University2.198.2%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.574.2%1st Place
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12.96Virginia Tech0.731.9%1st Place
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9.83Washington College1.663.7%1st Place
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7.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.465.8%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania1.595.3%1st Place
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10.75Princeton University1.874.2%1st Place
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13.7Christopher Newport University0.481.6%1st Place
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10.24Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
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15.58William and Mary-0.180.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| JC Hermus | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Edward Cook | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Ehnot | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Aidan Young | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| David Grace | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Sam Dutilly | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.