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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+8.87vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+2.75vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.87vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.54+4.97vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.19+1.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.87vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-0.08vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.84-1.09vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-3.78vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.56-3.20vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.38-0.11vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.88-2.57vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.30-5.26vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-8.32vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.38-4.11vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.90-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.87Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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4.75Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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8.97Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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10.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.91Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.65Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.22University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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8.8College of Charleston2.560.0%1st Place
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12.89North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.43Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.74Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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7.68Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.89North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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16.59Georgia Institute of Technology-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 31.4% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 31.4% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Claudon | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 86.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.