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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.64vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+4.98vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.38+9.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+0.87vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.30+4.53vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.19+0.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.24vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.56+0.55vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.84-1.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.74-2.00vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-3.19vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.21-1.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-3.50vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.54-6.15vs Predicted
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16Clemson University1.88-4.66vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.15vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.38-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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12.67North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.87Boston University3.700.2%1st Place
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9.53Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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4.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.55College of Charleston2.560.1%1st Place
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7.94Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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10.04Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.95Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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11.34Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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16.85Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.67North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Milliken | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 31.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 16.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Ikeda | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 94.6% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 31.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.