Race 12A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gus Macaulay 15.1% 12.8% 11.4% 11.4% 11.7% 9.4% 7.6% 6.6% 6.2% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Olivia Lowthian 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 12.8% 16.8% 16.2%
Peter Foley 14.9% 15.1% 12.8% 12.9% 10.3% 8.7% 8.3% 6.3% 4.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Duncan Craine 9.2% 9.3% 9.3% 8.2% 8.9% 8.4% 9.7% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 5.8% 4.3% 1.7%
Adrian Winkelman 8.2% 6.5% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 7.8% 5.0% 2.4%
Gavin Sanborn 5.2% 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0% 8.0% 7.1% 8.2% 11.1% 11.2% 9.3% 8.1% 4.6%
Jack Crager 8.1% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.6% 6.2% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9%
Nathaniel Hartwell 5.4% 4.9% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.1% 9.7% 11.1% 11.9% 10.8% 5.3%
Sam Harris 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.6% 13.2% 14.6% 11.2%
David Vinogradov 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 9.6% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Everett Botwinick 13.8% 13.9% 13.3% 12.1% 10.9% 8.6% 9.2% 7.4% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Pierson Falk 4.2% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 8.6% 7.8% 11.0% 12.3% 15.0% 8.6%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 5.3% 5.2% 8.5% 15.8% 47.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.