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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.54+7.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.19+4.42vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.30+6.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+6.33vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.38+7.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.70-1.07vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.21vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.74-0.07vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.84-1.03vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29-0.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.98vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.56-3.23vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.21-2.74vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.87-6.22vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-7.93vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.38-3.40vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.88-5.69vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59Jacksonville University2.540.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Wisconsin3.190.1%1st Place
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9.72Georgetown University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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4.93Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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4.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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7.97Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston2.560.0%1st Place
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10.26Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.78Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University1.380.0%1st Place
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11.31Clemson University1.880.0%1st Place
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16.84Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Ikeda | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lee | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Mazzolini | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 31.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 13.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Sutter | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Rogers | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 31.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| John Roberts | 2.8% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 94.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.