Race 13A

vietor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian Winkelman 7.9% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 9.0% 9.6% 9.1% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 7.0% 5.1% 1.4%
Olivia Lowthian 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 4.2% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 8.5% 10.7% 11.8% 18.1% 14.4%
Everett Botwinick 14.1% 13.0% 13.1% 12.2% 10.8% 10.2% 8.0% 6.5% 5.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Gus Macaulay 13.4% 12.9% 11.0% 12.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.3% 7.4% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Duncan Craine 8.3% 9.2% 9.0% 9.2% 9.2% 8.5% 10.7% 8.6% 7.9% 7.6% 6.3% 4.0% 1.4%
Peter Foley 15.2% 13.6% 14.0% 12.0% 10.4% 10.3% 6.7% 6.2% 4.7% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.8% 10.4% 7.7% 4.0%
Nathaniel Hartwell 4.5% 6.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 8.7% 10.4% 9.9% 11.6% 10.3% 6.2%
Tiernan O'Kane 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 3.1% 2.9% 3.7% 5.4% 8.9% 15.8% 49.2%
Jack Crager 9.4% 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 10.9% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 8.1% 6.3% 5.0% 3.9% 0.8%
David Vinogradov 8.5% 8.1% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.5% 10.1% 10.3% 8.7% 8.2% 5.6% 3.9% 1.2%
Pierson Falk 3.4% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 5.8% 7.1% 7.6% 10.0% 11.3% 13.0% 14.6% 9.0%
Sam Harris 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 7.8% 11.2% 12.8% 14.1% 11.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.