← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.36+7.28vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.57+3.41vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame0.99+3.25vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois1.60+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University1.15+0.84vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University1.30-0.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.72+0.31vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University0.92-1.40vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University0.76-1.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Saint Thomas0.99-3.75vs Predicted
-
11Michigan Technological University0.19-2.24vs Predicted
-
12Lake Forest College-0.42-1.72vs Predicted
-
13Marquette University0.32-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.28University of Wisconsin0.363.9%1st Place
-
5.41University of Michigan1.5711.5%1st Place
-
6.25University of Notre Dame0.998.9%1st Place
-
4.57University of Illinois1.6016.0%1st Place
-
5.84Ohio State University1.1510.8%1st Place
-
5.68Grand Valley State University1.3010.2%1st Place
-
7.31University of Wisconsin0.725.7%1st Place
-
6.6Purdue University0.927.8%1st Place
-
7.42Northwestern University0.766.2%1st Place
-
6.25University of Saint Thomas0.998.6%1st Place
-
8.76Michigan Technological University0.193.9%1st Place
-
10.28Lake Forest College-0.422.2%1st Place
-
8.37Marquette University0.324.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 10.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 16.0% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Carroll | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Liam Walz | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ella Reinemann | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Will Davies | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 38.4% |
| Brittany Shabino | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.