Race 4A

mcsa-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jenna Probst 12.2% 11.7% 12.0% 10.3% 10.6% 9.8% 9.2% 8.6% 6.3% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3%
Liam Walz 11.9% 11.2% 10.6% 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 10.1% 7.8% 7.0% 6.2% 4.2% 1.1%
Will Davies 5.5% 7.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.3% 10.2% 10.7% 10.2% 11.5% 7.2%
William Carroll 10.4% 10.7% 9.6% 10.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.2% 9.8% 7.5% 5.7% 5.1% 1.9%
Joseph Gallagher 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 9.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 9.8% 8.6% 8.2% 5.7% 3.5%
Odey Hariri 8.3% 9.2% 8.4% 7.9% 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 8.5% 9.6% 8.4% 3.6%
Marissa Tegeder 4.8% 4.1% 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.6% 6.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.5% 13.6% 12.4%
Ella Reinemann 6.2% 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 9.4% 10.6% 10.5% 10.0% 7.2%
Tarkan Bolat 15.8% 15.2% 13.5% 13.8% 10.0% 9.3% 8.3% 5.2% 4.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Donny Marwin 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.3% 8.2% 10.0% 11.5% 15.8% 16.5%
Rachel Bartel 10.0% 8.2% 9.1% 9.6% 9.9% 8.7% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 8.2% 6.1% 2.9%
Lucia Marquez 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.2% 7.6% 9.7% 15.4% 41.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.