← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+0.96vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University1.39+0.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.77-0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-0.11-1.07vs Predicted
-
6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.4%1st Place
-
2.27Tulane University1.390.3%1st Place
-
2.95University of Texas0.770.2%1st Place
-
3.93University of Notre Dame-0.110.0%1st Place
-
3.89Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sager | 43.5% | 29.2% | 17.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Alexandra Payne | 29.8% | 31.8% | 23.0% | 12.6% | 2.8% |
| Masie Comen | 15.8% | 20.3% | 28.2% | 24.2% | 11.5% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 4.6% | 9.2% | 16.9% | 27.5% | 41.8% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 28.6% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.