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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.75+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.11+0.92vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.39-1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.77-2.05vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.11-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Texas A&M University at Galveston1.750.4%1st Place
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3.92University of Notre Dame-0.110.1%1st Place
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2.29Tulane University1.390.3%1st Place
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2.95University of Texas0.770.1%1st Place
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3.89Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sager | 43.1% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Peter Roehmholdt | 5.9% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 29.2% | 40.7% |
| Alexandra Payne | 29.8% | 30.5% | 23.8% | 13.0% | 2.9% |
| Masie Comen | 14.7% | 23.1% | 26.7% | 24.0% | 11.5% |
| Kayla Sjoberg | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 26.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.