Race 7A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jenna Probst 10.9% 11.2% 11.9% 11.8% 11.1% 10.0% 9.4% 8.3% 6.5% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2%
Tarkan Bolat 16.6% 14.8% 14.8% 12.6% 10.9% 9.1% 7.4% 5.5% 4.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Joseph Gallagher 8.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 9.8% 8.6% 9.0% 6.7% 3.1%
Ella Reinemann 6.6% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.0% 10.6% 10.5% 10.4% 10.0% 7.9%
Donny Marwin 3.5% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 9.2% 12.8% 16.1% 18.3%
Marissa Tegeder 4.1% 5.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.1% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 12.9% 15.2% 13.1%
Odey Hariri 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 8.0% 8.6% 9.5% 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 9.4% 7.0% 3.8%
Liam Walz 11.9% 11.8% 9.9% 11.7% 10.1% 11.8% 8.6% 6.8% 6.8% 5.6% 3.8% 1.4%
Lucia Marquez 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 7.6% 9.7% 17.0% 40.1%
William Carroll 11.5% 10.2% 10.3% 9.5% 10.5% 9.1% 8.7% 8.7% 8.3% 6.5% 4.8% 1.9%
Rachel Bartel 10.0% 8.9% 9.4% 8.7% 11.8% 9.4% 10.6% 8.8% 8.2% 6.9% 5.7% 1.7%
Will Davies 7.2% 8.5% 6.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.0% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 9.4% 10.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.