Race 8A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Will Davies 6.4% 7.2% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 7.6% 9.5% 9.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.1% 7.3%
Rachel Bartel 9.3% 9.3% 9.6% 9.6% 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7%
Odey Hariri 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 9.0% 9.0% 9.2% 10.6% 9.8% 9.1% 9.3% 7.5% 2.8%
Ella Reinemann 5.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.2% 10.1% 11.1% 11.0% 9.9% 6.4%
Joseph Gallagher 9.3% 8.2% 9.8% 9.2% 9.0% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 8.6% 7.1% 6.3% 3.0%
Marissa Tegeder 5.0% 4.5% 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.0% 7.3% 9.3% 9.8% 12.0% 15.0% 12.5%
Liam Walz 10.8% 11.6% 11.6% 10.1% 11.0% 10.0% 8.2% 8.7% 7.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7%
Jenna Probst 13.5% 12.5% 11.3% 11.8% 9.9% 10.3% 8.3% 7.4% 6.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9%
William Carroll 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 8.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.3% 9.3% 7.8% 7.8% 3.9% 2.2%
Tarkan Bolat 15.3% 15.0% 13.2% 13.6% 11.8% 8.6% 6.2% 5.9% 4.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.6%
Donny Marwin 4.7% 4.4% 4.7% 4.3% 4.8% 6.5% 6.5% 6.7% 11.1% 11.6% 17.6% 17.2%
Lucia Marquez 2.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 3.8% 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 9.8% 15.8% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.