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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.49+1.98vs Predicted
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2American University-0.13+1.74vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.36+0.12vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.64-1.23vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.36-1.88vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.98-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98Ocean County College0.490.2%1st Place
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3.74American University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.2%1st Place
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2.77Drexel University0.640.2%1st Place
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3.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.360.2%1st Place
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2.39Monmouth University0.980.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autumn Hoover | 20.1% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Noel Klingler | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 16.4% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| David Schubert | 23.1% | 23.0% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| John Handel | 16.4% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Luisi | 31.6% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.