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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.20+3.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.07+3.43vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.06+2.12vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.37+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.53+1.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.38+0.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-1.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.94-1.69vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.58vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.36vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.08-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46+0.29vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.61-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Tufts University1.2015.1%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University1.0711.6%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont1.0613.1%1st Place
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7.02Florida State University0.376.2%1st Place
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6.57University of Rhode Island0.537.4%1st Place
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6.39Connecticut College0.388.1%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0110.6%1st Place
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6.31Roger Williams University0.948.6%1st Place
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6.42Salve Regina University0.467.0%1st Place
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7.64SUNY Maritime College-0.025.3%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute-0.084.7%1st Place
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12.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.2%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-0.612.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Courtland Doyle | 15.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Joshua Dillon | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Ethan Burt | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Carter Weatherilt | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
Cameron Silvers | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
Liam Gronda | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
Tomas Riccio | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
Emil Tullberg | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
Jeremy Lunati | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
Marc Leyk | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 3.1% |
Brooklyn Geary | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 8.4% | 79.1% |
James Frady | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 33.0% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.