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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.60+3.26vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.76+4.97vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.57+2.11vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.72+2.91vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.19+3.21vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas0.99-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.36-0.21vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University1.15-3.41vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.92-3.81vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-0.42-1.30vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University1.30-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of Illinois1.6017.2%1st Place
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6.97Northwestern University0.766.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Michigan1.5711.5%1st Place
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6.91University of Wisconsin0.727.1%1st Place
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8.21Michigan Technological University0.193.8%1st Place
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5.87University of Saint Thomas0.998.6%1st Place
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6.03University of Notre Dame0.997.8%1st Place
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7.79University of Wisconsin0.365.7%1st Place
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5.59Ohio State University1.159.7%1st Place
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6.19Purdue University0.928.2%1st Place
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9.7Lake Forest College-0.422.0%1st Place
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5.37Grand Valley State University1.3012.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 17.2% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Will Davies | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Ella Reinemann | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 16.2% |
| Rachel Bartel | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% |
| William Carroll | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Lucia Marquez | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 42.8% |
| Liam Walz | 12.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.