Race 13A

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jenna Probst 12.1% 11.4% 12.4% 11.6% 10.3% 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 6.1% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5%
Joseph Gallagher 8.6% 8.8% 8.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.1% 10.7% 9.4% 8.5% 8.9% 5.9% 2.8%
William Carroll 10.5% 10.2% 11.3% 9.6% 9.7% 9.3% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% 4.9% 2.1%
Tarkan Bolat 16.5% 14.3% 12.6% 11.6% 11.8% 10.4% 6.6% 5.5% 5.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4%
Rachel Bartel 8.5% 9.0% 10.1% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 4.7% 2.6%
Odey Hariri 8.3% 9.1% 8.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 9.9% 9.0% 8.3% 7.6% 4.2%
Liam Walz 10.8% 11.6% 11.5% 10.7% 11.8% 9.8% 9.0% 8.8% 6.1% 5.2% 3.2% 1.6%
Will Davies 6.9% 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 7.3% 8.8% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 9.8% 10.5% 6.2%
Marissa Tegeder 4.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.0% 8.3% 7.9% 10.1% 12.2% 15.8% 12.0%
Ella Reinemann 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 8.0% 8.5% 9.4% 8.6% 10.0% 12.3% 9.8% 6.4%
Donny Marwin 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 6.6% 6.3% 8.0% 9.7% 10.8% 17.5% 17.2%
Lucia Marquez 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 7.4% 9.2% 15.3% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.