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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.99+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.60+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.72+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.99+2.36vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.36+3.22vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University1.30-0.34vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University1.15-1.02vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.76-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.57-3.58vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University0.19-1.34vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.92-4.40vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-0.42-1.65vs Predicted
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13Marquette University0.32-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24University of Saint Thomas0.999.0%1st Place
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4.49University of Illinois1.6017.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Wisconsin0.725.6%1st Place
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6.36University of Notre Dame0.998.2%1st Place
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8.22University of Wisconsin0.364.4%1st Place
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5.66Grand Valley State University1.3010.6%1st Place
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5.98Ohio State University1.159.8%1st Place
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7.3Northwestern University0.765.9%1st Place
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5.42University of Michigan1.5712.3%1st Place
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8.66Michigan Technological University0.193.9%1st Place
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6.6Purdue University0.928.0%1st Place
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10.35Lake Forest College-0.421.2%1st Place
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8.36Marquette University0.324.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 17.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ella Reinemann | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Liam Walz | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| William Carroll | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Will Davies | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Donny Marwin | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Lucia Marquez | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 36.6% |
| Brittany Shabino | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.