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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.06+4.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.92+3.32vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.58+0.60vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.84+1.70vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.79-1.31vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.61-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.36-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.55+1.22vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-1.45+0.07vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.28-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.43-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86University of California at Berkeley1.060.1%1st Place
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2.86California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.3%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Berkeley0.920.1%1st Place
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4.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.580.1%1st Place
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6.7California State University Monterey Bay0.840.1%1st Place
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5.1Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.1%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.790.1%1st Place
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7.27California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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9.85University of California at San Diego-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Davis-1.550.0%1st Place
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12.07California State University Monterey Bay-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.63University of California at Davis-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.58University of California at San Diego0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Bordes | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lamb | 30.1% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Gunnell | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Georgia Cottong | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Nils-Erik Rundquist | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 4.9% |
| Connor Bockman | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 28.9% | 35.4% |
| Casey Weisenseel | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 23.4% | 33.4% |
| Alexandra Bischak | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 24.3% | 24.6% |
| Yan Rui Goheen | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.