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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+4.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.06+3.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.20+1.67vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.37+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.53+1.64vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.38+0.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.94-0.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07-2.79vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-2.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.49vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.61-1.31vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.08-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.46-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0111.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Vermont1.0612.8%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.2015.7%1st Place
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7.07Florida State University0.376.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island0.538.0%1st Place
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6.44Connecticut College0.387.5%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University0.947.8%1st Place
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5.21Northeastern University1.0711.7%1st Place
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6.4Salve Regina University0.467.9%1st Place
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7.51SUNY Maritime College-0.025.1%1st Place
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9.69University of New Hampshire-0.612.4%1st Place
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8.31Webb Institute-0.083.8%1st Place
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12.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 12.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Courtland Doyle | 15.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Cameron Silvers | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Liam Gronda | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 2.1% |
| James Frady | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 31.4% | 11.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 2.8% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 10.0% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.