← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.61+4.38vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.67+6.89vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California3.12+8.15vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.08+6.91vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.79+3.16vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University4.51-0.44vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.43-1.19vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.76+0.19vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-0.09vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.29+0.39vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-4.11vs Predicted
-
12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.21-1.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin2.61-0.43vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College3.83-6.19vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.68-6.44vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan2.35-2.27vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington2.81-4.81vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas1.82-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.38College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
-
8.89Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
-
11.15University of Southern California3.120.0%1st Place
-
10.91Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
-
8.16Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
5.56Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
-
5.81Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.39Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
-
6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
-
10.86Texas A&M University at Galveston3.210.0%1st Place
-
12.57University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.81Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
-
8.56Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
-
13.73University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
-
12.19University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.05University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Blecher | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Emily Dahl | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Jasmine Baloch | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Christine Porter | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 19.7% |
| Hannah Darrin | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.2% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.